Dynamic Characteristic Analysis of Indirect Carbon Emissions Caused by Chinese Urban and Rural Residential Consumption Based on Time Series Input-Output Tables from 2002 to 2011
题目：Dynamic Characteristic Analysis of Indirect Carbon Emissions Caused by Chinese Urban and Rural Residential Consumption Based on Time Series Input-Output Tables from 2002 to 2011
作者：
Guoxing Zhang（兰州大学/ Lanzhou University）
Mingxing Liu（兰州大学/ Lanzhou University）
Xiulin Gao（兰州大学/ Lanzhou University）
期刊：
Mathematical Problems in Engineering（影响因子0.802）
Volume 2014, Article ID 297637, 11 pages
英文摘要：
Carbon emissions caused by residential consumption have become one of themain sources of carbon emission and revealed a huge growth trend in China. By processing data of Chinese input-output tables available and relative Statistical Yearbook, this paper uses RAS method to update the input-output tables to obtain the time series input-output tables from 2002 to 2011. Then, we use input-output method to make a contrastive analysis of changes in carbon emissions caused by Chinese rural and urban residents’ consumption. The results show that the indirect carbon emission caused by urban residents’ consumption is the main part of carbon emission caused by residents’ consumption, and the gap between carbon emission caused by urban and rural residents’ consumption is wider and wider. The annual per capita indirect carbon emissions in urban and rural areas increase by years, and the increment of the town is much greater than that of the country. At last, we analyze carbon emissions from residents’ consumption by sectors and obtain some meaningful results. In accordance with the above conclusions, the paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions from consumer behaviors, structure of consumption, energy usage, and so on.
中文摘要:
居民生活消费所产生的碳排放已成为中国碳排放的一大源头之一且有着巨大的增长趋势。本文通过对中国已有年份的投入产出表和相关年份统计年鉴上的数据进行处理后，应用RAS法对已有年份的投入产出表进行了更新，从而得到了中国2002-2011年时间系列投入产出表，并在此基础上利用投入产出法对中国农村居民和城镇居民消费所产生的间接碳排放变动情况进行了比较研究。结果表明：中国居民生活消费带来的间接碳排放总量逐年升高，但其占全国能耗碳排放总量的比例却逐年的降低；城镇居民消费间接碳排放是居民消费碳排放的主要组成部分，且城乡居民消费碳排放总量之间的差距越来越大；城乡年人均间接碳排放量逐年增加，且城镇的增加量远大于农村，但自2004年后，其年增加比例要小于农村；当按行业划分来看居民消费拉动的碳排放情况时，我们发现农村居民和城镇居民对第一产业产品的消费所产生的碳排放量逐年降低，城市居民对第二产业产品的消费所产生的碳排放逐渐的降低，而对第三产业产品的消费所产生的碳排放逐渐的升高，农村居民消费碳排放还是主要集中在对第二产业产品的消费。根据以上的结论本文从城乡居民的消费行为、消费结构和能源的消费结构等几个方面提出了相应的对策建议。
网址链接：http://ir.lzu.edu.cn/handle/262010/102988
doi：http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/297637
